Junior Management Science, Volume 5, Issue 1, March 2020
Junior Management Science, Volume 1, Issue 1, June 2016
Variance Risk Premia
Alexander Wahl, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München (Masterarbeit)
Abstract Using a relatively model-free approach to extract the risk-neutral expected variance from an extensive set of traded options on 29 single stocks and eight stock indices, I derive the variance risk premium defined as the difference between the actually realized variance and the expected variance under the risk-neutral measure. The analysis reveals that variance risk premia are persistently negative for the majority of underlyings and show a clear link to the underlying’s exposure to systematic market variance. Moreover, I find that both the risk associated with continuous as well as discontinuous price movements contribute to observed variance risk premia.